segunda-feira, 26 de julho de 2010

Economists warn of deflation possibility

NEW YORK, July 26 (UPI) -- Economists and others are warning that a period of deflation is a possibility for the U.S. economy, given high unemployment and a stalled economic recovery.

The Los Angeles Times reported Monday that John Mauldin, president of Millenium Wave Advisors said recently the risk of falling prices is something "we have to take ... seriously." Nobel Prize winning economist Paul Krugman also warned of prices "visibly sliding toward deflation" in a recent column.

"It's a good bet that by some measures we'll be seeing deflation by some time next year," Krugman wrote.

Deflation crimps the economy by cutting into profits, which can trigger layoffs, creating a vacuum of purchasing power, which sucks prices down further. Even consumers who can afford purchases hesitate, expecting better deals if they wait, which stalls manufacturing, one of the brighter spots in the U.S. recovery so far.

UPI